Strategic Foresight
Learn how to identify emerging trends, assess complex risks, and explore potential futures with an eye on compiling likely future scenarios underpining decision-making geared towards more resilient and sustainable policies.
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- Society, culture, heritage
- Open to
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- Master's
- Field of studies
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- Law
- Social Science and humanities
- Type
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- Blended Intensive Programmes (BIP)
- Course dates
- 1 October 2025 - 30 January 2026
- Apply by
- 4 mai 2025 Apply now
Strategic Foresight and Future Studies emerge as a critical capability in this area because today's world faces an unprecedented polycrisis, a convergence of interlinked global challenges. Climate change, geopolitical shifts, economic volatility, technological disruption, and societal transformations are no longer isolated events but interconnected forces that amplify and exacerbate one another.
This complex and dynamic landscape demands a new generation of researchers, public officials, and managers equipped with the tools to anticipate and address the multifaceted manifestations of the polycrisis at various levels and across different countries. This Blended Intensive Programme (BIP), developed under the CIVIS Alliance, seeks to cultivate these essential skills in graduate students, enabling them to become effective agents of change in the face of the polycrisis.
'Visions of the future' are part of any political debate or project (White, 2024). As such, both polities and politics are shaped by their understanding of their future(s). However, contemporary policymaking has seen an uptick in future debates and forecasting efforts (Andersson, 2012 & 2018). While specific policy forecasts generally fail to materialize, this, perhaps counterintuitively, does not diminish their importance as their raison d’être is the coordination of present action via the ‘fictional expectations’ they create (Esposito & Becker, 2023).
In response to contemporary polycrisis, characterised as a complex system of interconnected crises that transcend specific domains and influence each other (Duit & Galaz, 2008; Orsini et al., 2020; Berten & Kranke, 2024), policymakers have sought to harness the coordinative value of forecasting exercises (Berten & Kranke, 2024), notably within a uniquely complex polity as the European Union. (e.g. Brack & Gürkan 2020; Bressanelli & Natali, 2023; Smeets & Beach, 2023; Hoeffler, Hofmann, & Mérand 2024). As a result, it has become essential to understand how political institutions, the variety of actors involved, and scientific models forge what we conceive of, or not, as potential futures.
Increasingly the necessary skill set aimed at navigating policymaking in the European Union in general, and in response to polycrisis in particular
Main topics addressed
The main skills and knowledge set associated with the course are aimed at navigating policymaking in the European Union in general and in response to the polycrisis in particular. They include:
- Unpacking the structures, actors, processes, and the way contestation can open or foreclose potential futures through present action (see. - Blyth, 2006; Costanzo & MacKay, 2009; Hein, C. 2018; Clift & Kuzemko 2024)
- Acquiring the skills associated with the rigorous production of policy-centric forecasting (see Bäckstrand, 2004; Varum & Melo, 2010; Bishop & Hines, 2012; Amer, Daim & Jetter, 2013; Schwarz, 2023)
Learning outcomes
By the end of the programme, students will have experienced and learned to:
- work effectively in an interdisciplinary team;
- understand and apply key concepts and methodologies in Futures Studies and Strategic Foresight;
- develop and analyse real-world scenarios involving the interaction between major types of challenges (e.g., climate change & epidemic risks; democratic backsliding & foreign interference; competitivity loss & welfare system’s sustainability; ecological transitions & social justice; electrification & heightened extractivism; crisis of democratic representation & polarisation; … etc.);
- produce policy briefs that provide actionable recommendations for managing polycrises.
Dates: 1 October 2025 - 30 January 2026 | Total workload: 76 hours |
Format: Blended | ECTS: 3* |
Location: Brussels, Belgium | Language: English (C1) |
Contact: frederik.ponjaert@ulb.be |
*recognition of ECTS depends on your home university
Physical mobility
The (English-spoken) in-person workshop will take place between 26-30 January 2026 at the Université Libre de Bruxelles (Belgium) and will focus on applying the knowledge gained during the online seminar. The workshop will culminate in a presentation session where students will showcase their policy briefs and receive feedback from peers and experts. During the week, students will:
- enhance and present their real-world scenarios developed during the semester;
- participate in hands-on activities and collaborative projects with experts;
- develop one policy brief per small group, based on their scenarios, providing actionable recommendations for managing complex risks.
The workshop will also take full advantage of its location in Brussels to interface with the European institutions. EU practitioners will be included as contributors to the workshop’s different sessions, and time will be set aside for visits to the EU institutions, notably targeting their forecasting units.
Concretely, students will be divided into 3-to-4 groups reflecting the topics presented at the last course of the hybrid training sessions. Participants will focus their efforts on working as a group to produce a foresight report in response to a specific policy challenge of their choice.
Challenges to be broach by the different simulation groups in January 2026 will include:
- the UAM led Group on ‘Urban Planing and Sustainability Policies’
- the ULB led Group on ‘Social Policies’
- the PLUS led Group on ‘Gender and Equity Policies’
- the PolyCIVIS led Group on ‘Euro-African Policies’ CIVIS
Virtual part
The virtual part will take pace between 1 October - 11 December 2025. It will cover the following key topics over the course of 6 sessions:
Session 1: "Introduction to Futures Studies: History and key concepts Hybrid class Speakers" - an introductory course exploring the different approaches to foresight. The first hour of the course will focus on the conceptual and epistemological foundations of the foresight approach, particularly in relation to theories of decision and change. The second hour of the course will involve a guest speaker with practical experience of foresight exercises invited to share their insights
Session 2: "Foresight Methods & Techniques" with the first hour focussing on Qualitative Approaches; while the second hour will introduce participants the Quantitative Approaches (Part 1). A non-exhaustive list of techniques touched upon includes: horizon scanning (as a fundamental technique for the systematic exploration and analysis of emerging trends, potential disruptions and signals of change), futures wheels (for the analysis of causal chains) and risk worlds (providing a solid basis for the analysis of risk scenarios).
Session 3: "Quantitative Approaches (Part 2)" will cover three complementary techniques: trend analysis (examining historical data to identify patterns or trends that can inform our understanding of future developments), quantitative models for scenario planning, and cross-impact analysis (assessing the interdependencies between variables and factors).
Session 4: "Back-casting or which Lessons to drawn both from previous or ongoing Crises" is dived into two parts: on the one hand, an hour focussed on lessons one can draw from the experience of past crises and the role foresight played in the subsequent policy-responses; and on the other, a second hour offering a detailed analyses of actual foresight exercise that has been carried out at the EU-level or beyond.
Session 5: "Strategic Foresight and European Policymaking" will cover how foresight informs European decision-making. It will do this by unpacking the centres of expertise involved in strategic foresight within European policy-making processes offering participants the chance to work on mapping of foresight stakeholders involved in EU policy processes.
Session 6: "Assessing Actual Foresight Exercises" will be divided into 4 topical sections reflecting the police-fields students can choose from to work on during the in-person workshop: ‘Urban Planing and Sustainbility Policies’, ‘Social Policies’, Gender and Equity Policies’, ‘Euro-African Policies’. The sixth and final session will see the CIVIS academics set to lead the in-person foresight exercises present the specific policy challenge they will invite the students to work on during the in-person workshop.
Overall calendar of the virtual component:
- Session 1 - Week of October 6
- Session 2 - Week of October 20
- Session 3 - Week of November 3
- Session 4 - Week of November 24
- Session 5 - Week of December 1
- Session 6 - Week of December 8
Assessment
The assessment will involve three variables:
- attendance & Relative Participation in both the virtual and online sessions (an individual evaluation)
- the Joint Forecastuing Report produced over the course of the 1 week in-person workshop (a collective evaluation)
- the oral presentation of the forecasting report scheduled for the workshoop's last day (an individual assessment)
This course is open to Master' students at CIVIS member universities, with background in Social Sciences (politics, economics, journalism, international relations) and/or Law. A cursory knowledge of the EU and its institutions is welcome but not required.
Good knowledge of English, critical thinking and group work abilities are a must.
NB: Visiting Students - Erasmus Funding Eligibility
To be eligible for your selected CIVIS programme, you must be a fully enrolled student at your CIVIS home university at the time you will be undertaking the programme. Applications for this course are only available for the 11 CIVIS member universities in Europe.
Partner universities:
- Universidad Autónoma de Madrid (Spain)
- Université Libre de Bruxelles (Belgium)
- University of Salzburg (Austria)
Professors:
CIVIS
Anne Weyembergh (ULB-IEE, Brussels) is Vice-Rector of Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB) for External Relations and Development Cooperation since 2020. She is a Professor at the ULB and President of the Institute for European Studies of the ULB – IEE since 2014). She founded and co-coordinates the European Criminal Law Academic Network (ECLAN) since November 2004. She is a Member of the Académie Royale des Sciences, des Lettres et des Beaux-Arts de Belgique (since 2017 – Classe des Lettres et des Sciences morales et politiques). She acted as an academic expert in various research projects for Committees of the European Parliament, most of them concerning EU criminal law.
Amandine Crespy (ULB-IEE, Brussels) is a professor of Political Science and European Studies, affiliated to the Centre d'étude de la vie politique (Cevipol) and the Institute of European Studies at the Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB). She also teaches at the College of Europe (Bruges). Her research focuses mainly on the economic governance and social policy of the European Union. She has published her work in a number of French and international journals and collective works. She is the author of four monographs, the latest of which is entitled The European Social Question. Tackling Key Controversies (Agenda, 2022). She is a regular contributor to a number of public debate platforms, including Social Europe and The Conversation.
Frederik Ponjaert (ULB-IEE, Brussels) is a full-time researcher at the Institute of European Studies of the ULB. He specializes in EU-Asian relations, with a focus on Japan. His publications are in the fields of comparative public policy and international trade. Besides his research, he is also the scientific coordinator of several EU-funded research programs, many of which include forecasting efforts.
Roman Puff (PLUS, Slazburg) is a professor of History with a focus on the history of European integration.
Zoe Lefkofridi (PLUS, Slazburg) is University Professor of Politics & Gender, Diversity & Equality at the Department of Political Science at the University of Salzburg. This professorship of political science represents and promotes gender studies in research and teaching and constitutes the first professorship for gender studies at PLUS and in the Salzburg higher education area. Lefkofridi researches and teaches on democracy, diversity, and equality, focusing on the causes and consequences of unequal political participation and representation Lefkofridi coordinates the consortium of the project PUSH*BACK*LASH (Horizon Europe) and is member of the consortium of the project ACTEU (Horizon Europe) where she also chairs the Working Package 4 (Representation). Lefkofridi is affiliated with the European Governance and Politics Programme of the Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies (RSCAS) of the European University Institute (EUI) in Florence. She is the editor of “Political Participation”, co-editor of the series “Politics and Democracy in the Smaller Countries of Europe”, NOMOS Publications and former section editor of the new gold open access journal “Frontiers in Political Science”.
Moneyba González is a professor and researcher at the Department of Political Science and International Relations of the Universidad Autónoma de Madrid (UAM). She is a member of the Institute of Local Law (IDL-UAM) and the Innovation, Technology and Public Management Research Group (IT_GesPub). She is also a collaborating researcher of the Thematic Network on Sustainable Urban Development (URBAN RED). She holds a doctorate in Political Science and Administration (European mention) from the University of Santiago de Compostela (USC), she has been a visiting researcher at the Centre for Sustainable Planning and Environment of the University of the West of England, UWE-Bristol (UK), postdoctoral at the Department of Architecture and Urban Studies (DASTU) of the Politecnico di Milano (Italy), and predoctoral at the Universität Konstanz (Germany). She has also worked at the Research, Evaluation and Quality Unit of the Galician School of Public Administration and at the Galician Industrial Property Service of the Xunta de Galicia.
Luis Bouza (UAM, Madrid) is an Associate Professor of Political Science at Universidad Autónoma de Madrid. He was the Academic Coordinator of European General Studies courses of the College of Europe in Bruges between 2012 and 2018 and has also held research and teaching positions at the University of East Anglia and Universidad de Salamanca. He is a graduate of the Universidad Complutense de Madrid, did his MA at the College of Europe in Natolin and has a PhD from the Robert Gordon University Aberdeen.
Non-CIVIS (to be confirmed)
Dan Schreiber (European Commission, DG INTPA) is a full-time policy officer at DG INTPA of the European Commission. He is an international expert on peace, development, and humanitarian response in fragile and conflict-affected settings. He holds a Master's in Public Administration from Erasmus University Rotterdam. He has extensive experience in project management, evaluation, facilitation, and training. He has previously worked with various organisations, including the UN, OECD, and UNDP, and has authored numerous publications, including the OECD's States of Fragility 2020 report.
Jean-Luc Guyot (IWPS) is a sociologist and demographer, scientific director and head of the “Anticipation of socio-economic phenomena” department at IWEPS, the Walloon Institute for Evaluation, Forecasting and Statistics. He is also a visiting professor at the Catholic University of Louvain and the University of Liège.
Alain Ouattara (UN – OCHA) Deputy Head of Office a.i., OCHA Nigeria. A national from Burkina Faso, is the acting Deputy Head of Office based in Maiduguri, Nigeria. He has more than 15 years of field experience with the United Nations (UN) Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) working in various parts of Africa and the Caribbean, in a wide range of settings including protracted and conflict settings (DRC, Nigeria), natural disasters (Haiti), and the Ebola crisis/ health emergency (DRC). Mr. Ouattara's work in OCHA has focused on preparedness and emergency response in the field of information management, strengthening the organization's role in humanitarian response, context and conflict, and stakeholder analyses, and providing oversight of programmatic tasks. He has also led the Humanitarian Programme Cycle that brings together all humanitarian actors to agree on a standard for inter-agency joint programming in humanitarian emergencies and cooperate to achieve collective results and ensure coherent response strategies and implementations. Before joining OCHA in 2005, Mr. Ouattara worked for United Mission in Iraq from 2002 to 2004, providing information technology services support. He also worked in the private sector in Burkina Faso from 1995 to 2002. Mr. Ouattara holds a Doctorate in Information Technology from Walden University and a Master of Science from the University of Liverpool.
Josh Polchar (Strategic foresight expert, OCDE) is a strategic foresight practitioner with over ten years’ experience in public policy. His current work at the OECD Public Governance Directorate seeks to develop enhanced strategic foresight approaches for anticipating and managing emerging critical risk. Joshua previously worked at the OECD Observatory of Public Sector Innovation (OPSI) and in the Office of the Secretary General. He worked with over a dozen national governments and international organisations to develop new knowledge, design interventions, and create processes to build anticipatory capacity. An educator, Joshua is an alumnus and former trainer in the Oxford Scenarios Programme, course instructor on ‘Disrupted Futures’ at EM Lyon Business School, and has delivered guest lectures at several institutions including the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy. Joshua’s publications include ‘Futures of Public Administration’, ‘Trends Shaping Education’, and ‘Unboxing the Future’, as well as blogs on making strategic foresight actionable and accessible. Joshua is an avid language-learner, proficient in three languages and able to get by in five more.
Christophe Leclerq (Fondation EurActiv) is the Founder of the EurActiv media network and of Fondation EurActiv PoliTech. After launching and managing EurActiv for 10 years, Leclercq now focuses on deepening its network, strategy, and external relations. EurActiv is a policy media network, produced in 12 languages in 12 capitals. It focuses on the input of industry, NGO’s and countries upstream of EU proposals, on 20 policy sections, complementing official websites and feeding national media. This network reaches more than half a million readers, mostly policy professionals and journalists.’Fondation EurActiv PoliTech guides the network, organises trainings and leads the social media and ‘EU Community’ dpt.Christophe Leclercq moderates conferences (eg Business Summit or Employment Week, Krynica Economic Conference), speaks at policy events (e.g. workshops of Fondation EurActiv Institute, various industry associations & universities). Previously, Mr Leclercq was an EU Commission official with DG Competition (coordinator for Information Society). Before that, he was a strategy consultant with McKinsey, founder of the EuroManagers job fair, and market research manager at Renault Deutschland.He studied political science (‘Sciences Po’ Paris), business administration (HEC Paris, also at NYU & Köln), and international relations (ULB, Brussels).
Beata Kolecka (Unit Foresight & Strategic Communication, EC) is the Head of Foresight & Strategic Communication Unit at the Secretariat General, European Commission.
Laurent Bontoux (Senior Foresight for Policy Expert, Joint Research Centre, EC) is Senior Foresight for Policy Expert at European Commission Joint Research Centre.
Send your application by filling in the online application form by 4 May 2025, and including:
- CV,
- level of english (According to CEFR)
- motivation letter. Please order (from 1-through-4 with 1 your preffered choice and 4 your least favoured option) the four possible policy fields scheduled to be covered by the 2025 BIP:
- Urban Planing and Sustainability Policies
- Social Policies
- Gender and Equity Policies
- Euro-African Policies CIVIS
The participants will be selected according to their:
- motivation,
- language proficiency,
- previous course work,
- interest in EU policy-making.
GDPR Consent
The CIVIS alliance and its member universities will treat the information you provide with respect. Please refer to our privacy policy for more information on our privacy practices. By applying to this course, you agree that we may process your information in accordance with these terms.